momentum.
FINAL · SAT, OCT 31

Tampa Bay
Lightning
Tampa Bay
4–5FINAL
Nashville
Predators
Nashville

The story: Stamkos' Shootout Winner Powers Predators Past Lightning in Thriller

GAME STORY

Stamkos' Shootout Winner Powers Predators Past Lightning in Thriller

Nashville Predators outlasted Tampa Bay 5-4 in a shootout Saturday night, fueled by Steven Stamkos' clutch tying goal and shootout winner.

The Halloween showdown in Nashville proved a back-and-forth affair, with the Predators drawing first blood 11 minutes into the first period on a goal from Reid Schaefer, assisted by Alexander Kerfoot and Nick Perbix. Tampa Bay responded quickly, with John Carlson scoring just over two minutes later, assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Charle-Edouard D'Astous. The second period exploded with goals; Jake Guentzel put the Lightning ahead just 18 seconds in, assisted by Carlson and Kucherov, before Adam Edstrom tied it for Nashville 45 seconds later, with Brady Skjei and Perbix assisting. Victor Hedman regained the lead for Tampa Bay just over three minutes into the period, assisted by Kucherov and Brayden Point, but Jayden Struble leveled the score with 18 seconds left in the second, assisted by Adam Wilsby and Filip Forsberg. Conor Geekie put the Lightning up again three and a half minutes into the third, assisted by Jeffrey Viel, only for Steven Stamkos to force the shootout with a power-play goal seven minutes into the third, assisted by Forsberg and Ryan O'Reilly. Stamkos then sealed the victory in the shootout.

Nikita Kucherov was a central figure for Tampa Bay, registering three assists and a +3 rating while logging 23.7 minutes on ice, earning him the second star of the game. John Carlson contributed a goal and an assist, finishing with a +2 rating in 19.2 minutes. For Nashville, Steven Stamkos was named the first star for his crucial power-play goal and the shootout winner, while Adam Edstrom's tying goal secured him the third star. Filip Forsberg and Nick Perbix each provided two assists, influencing multiple scoring plays for the Predators.

momentum.'s analytics model had given the Nashville Predators just a 44% chance to emerge victorious in Saturday's contest, indicating an upset was brewing. The model's pick, therefore, proved incorrect as the Predators navigated a high-scoring affair to secure the 5-4 shootout triumph. Despite the Lightning's potent offense led by Kucherov, Nashville found a way to capitalize on key opportunities, especially the late power-play goal that ultimately changed the game's outcome.

THREE STARS · OFFICIAL

Tonight's best.

KEY PLAYERS · HOW THEY DID

The three hottest on each side.

OUR PICK · HOW IT PLAYED

The model missed this one.

56%TBL WIN
✗ MISS
YTD: 55%
TBL was favored but lost.
TBL 56%NSH 44%
Why · Top Factors
Pontus Holmberg 70Top Heat45 Steven Stamkos
100Energy100
87.4Goalie SV%90
2Rest Days2
3H2H Wins (L4)1
HEAT IMPACT

Who moved up. Who moved down.

If you missed it
MARKET ODDS · 22 BOOKMAKERS

What the books say.

Our model: TBL 56% · Market (Pinnacle): TBL 62%

◆PinnaclesharpestTBL 1.57 · NSH 2.57
TBL
NSH
TBL 62%NSH 38%
All bookmakers (21)
Nordicbet
TBL 61%NSH 39%
Betsson
TBL 61%NSH 39%
Marathonbet
TBL 51%NSH 28%
Onexbet
TBL 52%NSH 27%
Coolbet
TBL 50%NSH 28%
Betclic fr
TBL 48%NSH 30%
Unibet fr
TBL 47%NSH 30%
Sport888
TBL 60%NSH 40%
William Hill
TBL 60%NSH 40%
Codere it
TBL 49%NSH 29%
Betonlineag
TBL 61%NSH 39%
Winamax de
TBL 48%NSH 30%
Winamax fr
TBL 48%NSH 30%
Gtbets
TBL 62%NSH 38%
Unibet se
TBL 52%NSH 27%
Leovegas se
TBL 52%NSH 27%
Unibet nl
TBL 52%NSH 27%
Mybookieag
TBL 60%NSH 40%
Matchbook
TBL 62%NSH 38%
Tipico de
TBL 49%NSH 29%
Betanysports
TBL 61%NSH 39%

Win % removes the bookmaker margin · decimal odds shown beside each book.

BOX SCORE · SOURCE: NHL.COM

Everyone who played.

Sorted by points, then ice time. Heat is each player's form over his last five games.

Tampa BayTampa Bay Lightning26 SOG · 19 HIT · 24 BLK · 6 PIM
FORWARDSGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
86Nikita KucherovR033+31110–23:4167
59Jake GuentzelC101+330005025:5638
94Conor GeekieC101+112005010:0243
21Brayden PointC011+331405723:1042
25Jeffrey VielL011+10210–7:4132
38Brandon HagelL000-33000–20:1340
71Anthony CirelliC000-300105318:3349
29Pontus HolmbergR000-21100–14:5057
95Ilya MikheyevR00001002–13:44–
93Gage GoncalvesC000-11310–12:4222
17Dominic JamesC000011003011:4027
49Scott SabourinR000+10212–8:36–
DEFENSEGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
74John CarlsonD112+25010–19:1137
77Victor HedmanD101-12010–16:4324
51Charle-Edouard D'AstousD011+20430–25:2542
90J.J. MoserD00002252–22:170
27Ryan McDonaghD00000020–18:389
24Max CrozierD000-12030–17:3630
GOALIESDECSAGASVSV%TOI
88Andrei VasilevskiyO33429.87965:00
NashvilleNashville Predators33 SOG · 17 HIT · 15 BLK · 6 PIM · 1 PPG
FORWARDSGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
9Filip ForsbergL022-12000–20:45–
84Adam EdstromC10102400–17:1521
91Steven StamkosC1 PPG101-260005716:1853
49Reid SchaeferL101+22400–12:0215
14Alexander KerfootC011+100004419:1220
90Ryan O'ReillyC011-202125818:02–
18Jack DruryC000010126418:399
81Jonathan MarchessaultR00004100–15:18–
22Mavrik BourqueC000-21100–13:4310
79Ross ColtonC00002100–13:38–
71Matthew WoodR00001000–13:0013
21Nils HoglanderL000+10010–10:1035
DEFENSEGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
48Nick PerbixD02202020–18:0219
3Jayden StrubleD10101220–17:3123
2Adam WilsbyD01103032–21:328
76Brady SkjeiD01100020–20:2317
59Roman JosiD000-15020–27:3340
52Daemon HuntD000-11210–16:0512
GOALIESDECSAGASVSV%TOI
29Justus AnnunenW26422.84664:52