momentum.
FINAL · SAT, OCT 31

Pittsburgh
Penguins
Pittsburgh
4–5FINAL
Montreal
Canadiens
Montreal

The story: Anderson's Double Dumps Penguins in Wild Canadiens Victory

GAME STORY

Anderson's Double Dumps Penguins in Wild Canadiens Victory

Montréal rallied past Pittsburgh for a thrilling 5-4 victory, driven by Josh Anderson's two goals and Lane Hutson's two crucial assists.

The Montréal Canadiens secured a wild 5-4 regulation victory over the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday, overcoming an early deficit with a flurry of goals. Pittsburgh initially struck just over two minutes into the first period, with Erik Karlsson converting on the power play, assisted by Sidney Crosby and Tommy Novak. However, Montréal responded quickly, with Oliver Kapanen scoring just 33 seconds later, assisted by Owen Beck and Florian Xhekaj. Barely 24 seconds after that, Josh Anderson, assisted by Chris Kreider, put the Canadiens ahead. Tommy Novak, assisted by Rickard Rakell and Sidney Crosby, equalized for Pittsburgh around seven minutes into the first.

The second period saw Montréal surge ahead with two quick goals. Alexandre Texier, assisted by Lane Hutson and Phillip Danault, scored just under two minutes in, followed by Chris Kreider, assisted by Arber Xhekaj and Josh Anderson, 27 seconds later. Pittsburgh's Rickard Rakell, assisted by Erik Karlsson, cut the lead to 4-3 just under four minutes into the frame. But Josh Anderson netted his second of the game, assisted by Lane Hutson and Jake Evans, over 13 minutes into the second, giving Montréal a commanding 5-3 lead. Sidney Crosby, assisted by Erik Karlsson, scored for Pittsburgh late in the third period, with less than four minutes remaining, but the Penguins could not complete the comeback.

Josh Anderson led the charge for Montréal, earning the game's first star with a multi-point effort, registering two goals and one assist, a +3 rating, in 15.0 minutes of ice time. His second goal proved to be the game-winner. Lane Hutson, the third star, was a force on the blue line, tallying two assists, a stellar +4 rating, and a team-high 23.8 minutes on ice. Chris Kreider also had a significant impact for the Canadiens, contributing one goal and one assist, with an impressive +4 rating in just 12.2 minutes. For Pittsburgh, Sidney Crosby was the second star, notching one goal and two assists for three points, with a +3 rating in 20.4 minutes. Erik Karlsson also had a strong offensive outing for the Penguins, contributing one goal and two assists, playing a game-high 23.6 minutes. Rickard Rakell and Tommy Novak each added a goal and an assist for Pittsburgh, with Rakell earning a +3 rating in 22.0 minutes and Novak a +2 in 18.0 minutes.

momentum.'s analytics model had correctly predicted a Montréal victory, giving the Canadiens a 59% chance to win this matchup. The tight 5-4 final score underscored the competitive nature of the game, yet ultimately validated the model's pick. This outcome aligns with the Canadiens' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and maintain composure in fast-paced contests. Despite Pittsburgh's formidable offensive output, featuring three points each from Sidney Crosby and Erik Karlsson, Montréal's balanced attack and timely goal-scoring proved to be the decisive factor. The model likely accounted for the Canadiens' effective depth, as evidenced by critical goals from Oliver Kapanen and Alexandre Texier, which complemented the multi-point efforts from stars like Josh Anderson and Chris Kreider. Montréal's quick responses to Pittsburgh's goals and their successful effort to establish and hold a lead through the second period were crucial elements that aligned with the model's favorable outlook, ultimately justifying its pre-game assessment against a strong Penguins opponent.

THREE STARS · OFFICIAL

Tonight's best.

KEY PLAYERS · HOW THEY DID

The three hottest on each side.

OUR PICK · HOW IT PLAYED

The model called it.

59%MTL WIN
✓ HIT
YTD: 55%
MTL won — the model called it.
PIT 41%MTL 59%
Why · Top Factors
Evgeni Malkin 66Top Heat58 Cole Caufield
100Energy99
84.3Goalie SV%89.1
2Rest Days2
2H2H Wins (L4)2
HEAT IMPACT

Who moved up. Who moved down.

If you missed it
MARKET ODDS · 22 BOOKMAKERS

What the books say.

Our model: MTL 59% · Market (Pinnacle): MTL 53%

◆PinnaclesharpestPIT 2.09 · MTL 1.83
PIT
MTL
PIT 47%MTL 53%
All bookmakers (21)
Onexbet
PIT 36%MTL 42%
Coolbet
PIT 36%MTL 41%
Marathonbet
PIT 36%MTL 42%
Nordicbet
PIT 47%MTL 53%
Betsson
PIT 47%MTL 53%
Unibet fr
PIT 36%MTL 41%
Betclic fr
PIT 36%MTL 42%
Sport888
PIT 47%MTL 53%
William Hill
PIT 47%MTL 53%
Codere it
PIT 36%MTL 42%
Betonlineag
PIT 48%MTL 52%
Winamax de
PIT 36%MTL 42%
Winamax fr
PIT 36%MTL 42%
Gtbets
PIT 47%MTL 53%
Leovegas se
PIT 35%MTL 42%
Unibet se
PIT 35%MTL 42%
Unibet nl
PIT 35%MTL 42%
Mybookieag
PIT 48%MTL 52%
Tipico de
PIT 35%MTL 43%
Matchbook
PIT 47%MTL 53%
Betanysports
PIT 48%MTL 52%

Win % removes the bookmaker margin · decimal odds shown beside each book.

BOX SCORE · SOURCE: NHL.COM

Everyone who played.

Sorted by points, then ice time. Heat is each player's form over his last five games.

PittsburghPittsburgh Penguins29 SOG · 13 HIT · 9 BLK · 13 PIM · 1 PPG
FORWARDSGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
87Sidney CrosbyC123+320025520:2335
67Rickard RakellR112+32100–21:5851
18Tommy NovakC112+2300010017:58–
71Evgeni MalkinC000-11002–17:5454
81Ben KindelC000-131202516:48–
59Egor ChinakhovR000-22000–14:2221
41Ville KoivunenR000-20022–13:1623
46Blake LizotteC000-103054312:5512
19Connor DewarC000-10110–12:3036
22Hendrix LapierreC000-201003310:3440
62Andrei KuzmenkoL000-21100–10:0013
14Nick RobertsonL000-10010–9:5925
DEFENSEGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
65Erik KarlssonD1 PPG123+14000–23:3747
49Samuel GirardD000-12100–21:0118
58Kris LetangD000-12110–18:44–
72Declan CarlileD000-31010–18:449
6Kaedan KorczakD000-11312–18:2118
24Spencer StastneyD000+15000–15:1619
GOALIESDECSAGASVSV%TOI
1Sergei MurashovL27522.81557:40
MontrealMontréal Canadiens27 SOG · 22 HIT · 22 BLK · 13 PIM
FORWARDSGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
17Josh AndersonRGWG213+32110–14:5833
22Chris KreiderL112+45000–12:1042
85Alexandre TexierL10103000–14:3225
91Oliver KapanenC101+120221411:0412
24Phillip DanaultC011-112105419:5735
71Jake EvansC011+413006917:4049
62Owen BeckC011+113151008:5149
63Florian XhekajL011+10224–7:3445
13Cole CaufieldR000-22100–18:5639
15Alex NewhookC000-200106018:5419
20Juraj SlafkovskýL000-22020–17:2319
76Zachary BolducR000-12100–16:3612
DEFENSEGAPTS+/-SOGHITBLKPIMFO%TOIHEAT
48Lane HutsonD022+41140–23:47–
72Arber XhekajD011+10210–13:40–
21Kaiden GuhleD000-21530–24:0521
45Alexandre CarrierD000-21120–21:1915
53Noah DobsonD000+21012–20:4925
42Adam EngstromD000+12010–10:5815
GOALIESDECSAGASVSV%TOI
32Jacob FowlerW29425.86260:00