Macklin CelebriniSJS ripped an overtime power-play goal past the Montréal Canadiens' netminder, completing a stunning third-period comeback and earning the San Jose Sharks a dramatic 4-3 upset victory. The rookie sensation single-handedly dragged his team back from a two-goal deficit in the final frame before delivering the knockout blow, putting the league on notice that the future in San Jose is now.
San Jose Sharks
MTL(60%)
The San Jose Sharks clawed back from a 3-1 third-period deficit against the Montréal Canadiens, with Macklin CelebriniSJS igniting the charge. CelebriniSJS opened the scoring in the first, but Montréal responded with goals from Nick Suzuki, Juraj Slafkovský, and Cole Caufield to take a commanding lead into the final frame. Michael Misa narrowed the gap early in the third, followed by Tyler Toffoli’s power-play equalizer at 11:09, setting the stage for CelebriniSJS’s overtime heroics.
Momentum data favored Montréal with a 56% win probability, making San Jose's victory a significant upset. Macklin CelebriniSJS was undeniably the star, registering 2 goals and 1 assist for 3 points, showcasing clutch performance despite his momentum PPM of 0.0693 being -10% below his season average.
Boston Bruins
BOS(57%)
Mikko RantanenDAL delivered a spectacular hat trick for the Dallas Stars, clinching a 3-2 overtime victory against the Boston Bruins. Boston took a first-period lead through Matthew Poitras, only for RantanenDAL to equalize in the second. James Hagens then restored the Bruins' lead, but RantanenDAL responded again at 13:38 of the third period, forcing overtime where he completed his hat trick on the power play at 03:52.
The Stars' comeback marked an upset as the model gave Dallas just a 39% win probability. Mikko RantanenDAL was the undisputed offensive force of the night, contributing all 3 goals for 3 points, even as his momentum PPM of 0.0459 registered -22% below his season average.
Colorado Avalanche
NJD(51%)
The New Jersey Devils stunned the high-flying Colorado Avalanche with a tight 4-3 regulation victory, showcasing their resilience in a back-and-forth contest. Luke Evangelista put New Jersey on the board first, with Gabriel Landeskog answering for Colorado. Declan Chisholm restored the Devils' lead in the second, followed by Arseny Gritsyuk extending it early in the third. Jesper Boqvist added an empty-netter that proved crucial as Artturi Lehkonen scored two late goals for Colorado, nearly completing a comeback.
This outcome was a narrow upset, as the model had given the Devils a 47% chance to win. Luke Evangelista factored in on two of New Jersey's goals, scoring once and assisting on another, demonstrating strong playmaking with his goal and assist.
Tampa Bay Lightning
VGK(63%)
The Tampa Bay Lightning orchestrated a decisive 6-2 upset over the Vegas Golden Knights, unleashing a torrent of goals after a tightly contested first period. Brandon Hagel scored on the power play early, answered by Ivan Barbashev. John Carlson put Tampa Bay ahead, but Mark Stone's short-handed goal tied it again. From the second period onward, the Lightning dominated, with Anthony Cirelli scoring twice, followed by Victor Hedman and Nikita Kucherov adding unassisted markers to seal the convincing victory.
This was a significant upset, with the model giving the Lightning only a 41% win probability against the Golden Knights. Nikita Kucherov was a central figure in the Lightning's offensive explosion, recording 1 goal and 2 assists for 3 points, consistently finding ways to impact the game.
Detroit Red Wings
SEA(62%)
The Seattle Kraken held off a furious third-period surge from the Detroit Red Wings, ultimately securing a 4-3 shootout victory. Seattle built a comfortable 3-0 lead through goals from Mackie Samoskevich, Ryker Evans (power play), and Brandon Montour across the first two periods. However, Detroit mounted an incredible comeback in the third, with Viktor Arvidsson, Lucas Raymond (power play), and Alex DeBrincat (power play) scoring in rapid succession, including DeBrincat's equalizer with 17 seconds left. Bobby McMann then netted the sole shootout goal for Seattle.
This close contest was correctly predicted by the model, which gave Seattle a 58% win probability. Alex DeBrincat was a pivotal force in Detroit's comeback, registering 1 goal and 1 assist for 2 points, with his momentum PPM of 0.0425 sitting +15% above his season average.
Minnesota Wild
EDM(57%)
The Edmonton Oilers fended off a third-period comeback attempt from the Minnesota Wild to secure a 4-3 overtime victory, thanks to Evan Bouchard's power-play winner. Joel Eriksson Ek gave Minnesota an early lead, but Leon Draisaitl responded with two power-play goals for Edmonton, followed by Mathieu Joseph adding another for a two-goal Oilers lead. Kirill Kaprizov and Ryan Hartman scored for Minnesota in the third period, tying the game and forcing overtime before Bouchard's decisive shot on the power play.
The model correctly predicted this one-goal game, giving the Oilers a 53% win probability. 
Connor McDavidEDM was a key orchestrator for Edmonton, dishing out 3 assists for 3 points, despite his momentum PPM of 0.1197 being -2% below his season average.
Los Angeles Kings
WSH(68%)
The Los Angeles Kings overcame an early deficit to dominate the Washington Capitals with a 5-2 road victory. Washington jumped out to a 2-0 lead with goals from Ryan Leonard and Cole Hutson (power play) in the first period. However, Adrian Kempe and 
Artemi PanarinLAK scored for Los Angeles in the final minute of the first, tying the game. The Kings then took control in the third, with Erik Gustafsson scoring on the power play, followed by another goal from Adrian Kempe, and Scott Laughton adding an empty-netter to secure the win.
This was a strong upset, as the model had given the Kings only a 36% win probability. Artemi PanarinLAK was instrumental in the Kings' turnaround, recording 1 goal and 2 assists for 3 points, even with his momentum PPM of 0.0375 showing -20% below his season average.
Anaheim Ducks
NYI(53%)
The New York Islanders weathered a late push from the Anaheim Ducks to secure a 3-2 victory in regulation. The Islanders built an early lead with goals from Ondrej Palat and Victor Eklund. Frank Vatrano momentarily cut the lead for Anaheim, but Simon Holmstrom quickly restored New York's two-goal advantage on the power play. Alex Killorn brought the Ducks within one in the third period, but New York held on for the win.
The model predicted a tight game with New York only having a 49% win probability, making this technically an upset. Leo Carlsson was a significant offensive contributor for Anaheim, recording 2 assists for 2 points, showcasing his playmaking ability.
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR(55%)
The Carolina Hurricanes put on an offensive display, cruising to a 6-3 regulation victory over the Vancouver Canucks. 
Logan StankovenCAR and Nikolaj Ehlers scored for Carolina in the first, with Linus Karlsson and Jonathan Lekkerimäki (power play) evening the score for Vancouver. Nicolas Deslauriers put the Hurricanes ahead in the second, with Max Sasson briefly equalizing for Vancouver. Carolina then pulled away in the third with goals from Nicolas Deslauriers, Nikolaj Ehlers, and Logan StankovenCAR (empty net).
The model correctly anticipated Carolina's win, giving them a 59% win probability. Logan StankovenCAR delivered an impressive 2 goals and 1 assist for 3 points, with his momentum PPM of 0.0457 sitting -2% below his season average.
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR(50%)
The Toronto Maple Leafs delivered a dominant performance, overwhelming the Columbus Blue Jackets with a 6-2 victory. Columbus initially led with a goal from Jake Christiansen, but Toronto quickly responded with a power-play goal from Kirill Marchenko. The Maple Leafs then exploded in the second period, scoring four unanswered goals from William Nylander, Auston Matthews, 
Easton CowanTOR (shorthanded), and 
Jack RoslovicTOR. Charlie Coyle scored for Columbus in the third, but Marshall Rifai added another for Toronto to cap off the blowout.
The model accurately predicted this blowout, giving Toronto a 54% win probability. Easton CowanTOR, Jack RoslovicTOR, and 
Morgan RiellyTOR each put up 3 points for Toronto. CowanTOR (1G, 2A) had a momentum PPM of 0.0648, 7% above his season average; RoslovicTOR (1G, 2A) boasted 0.0599 PPM, 21% above his season average; and RiellyTOR (0G, 3A) contributed with a 0.0311 PPM, -4% below his season average.
Winnipeg Jets
STL(57%)
The St. Louis Blues secured a hard-fought 2-1 regulation victory over the Winnipeg Jets in a tight, low-scoring affair. Jimmy Snuggerud opened the scoring for St. Louis in the first period. Cole Perfetti then equalized for Winnipeg early in the third. However, Philip Broberg’s power-play goal at 08:47 of the third period proved to be the game-winner, giving the Blues the decisive edge.
The model correctly projected the Blues' win, assigning them a 53% win probability. Philip Broberg was a key contributor for St. Louis, notching 1 goal and 1 assist for 2 points, including the crucial game-winning goal.
Momentum Watch
Tuesday night offered a dynamic blend of validated signals and surprising underperformances from the Momentum Player Performance Metric (PPM). Jack RoslovicTOR of the Toronto Maple Leafs showcased a clear upward trend, delivering 1 goal and 2 assists for 3 points, a robust 21% above his season average PPM of 0.0599. Similarly, Easton CowanTOR (TOR) contributed 3 points (1G, 2A), his 7% above season average PPM of 0.0648 signaling strong recent form. Conversely, stars like Mikko RantanenDAL (DAL) and Artemi PanarinLAK (LAK) each registered 3 points but still finished -22% and -20% below their season average PPMs respectively, suggesting their overall season trends might still be lagging despite their impressive individual game performances. Connor McDavidEDM (EDM) logged 3 assists but remained -2% below his season average PPM, indicating a consistent but not necessarily surging trend.
Looking Ahead
The dramatic third-period comebacks witnessed tonight highlight the unpredictable nature of early-season NHL hockey, with teams still finding their rhythm. The performances of young stars like Macklin CelebriniSJS (SJS) and Logan StankovenCAR (CAR) provide exciting glimpses into the league’s future, as they consistently deliver multi-point nights. With several close contests and upsets, the league's parity remains a key storyline, promising more must-watch action in the coming days.